Monday, April 15, 2013

Day Breaks over Anglo





A photograph I shot of the sunrise one morning in November 2007, on my way to North Wall Quay in Dublin, Ireland. 

The new headquarters of the now infamous Irish banking institution Anglo Irish was coming slowly out of the ground. 

A more innocent time perhaps, before all hell broke loose and we were left with a very different image of the Irish economy, than the one we had grown familiar with until then. 

On a recent episode of the Charlie Rose show in America, author Michael Lewis our little Irish bank as the 'worst in the world'. 

Which is saying something. 

Brian O' Hanlon 

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Sunday, March 31, 2013

Trick of the Loop






Former minister Mary Hanafin was on the radio this morning, almost telling us that wasn’t it wonderful how good in Ireland had it, being able to give its blanket guarantee of liabilities of all banks, worth over €400 billion in September 2008.

Aren’t we all so lucky.

We could have been like those unlucky Cypriots.

Look at them now. That could have been us.

Well, okay.

But then former minister Hanafin, extended her point by repeating a qualification that is often used by the ex. Irish government - in saying, that on the night of the bank guarantee, when operating in ‘real time’ circumstances - they were led to believe that the Irish banks had experienced at liquidity squeeze and not a solvency problem.

It would be like, if there was a war somewhere in the oil producing/processing regions, and Ireland suddenly could not get petrol say, to fuel its fleet of cars, lorries and vans - and the Irish economy was in jeopardy, from suffering from a supply shock of some kind.

There is this often quoted excused used by the former Irish government, that the top fellows in the Irish bank, opened the lid on the enormous Irish bank, fuel silos, shouted into them and said,

‘Holy heck, I can hear echoes coming out of this thing. We are almost empty!’

So the top fellows in BOI and AIB rush down to Kildare street and keep our hard working minister up all night, trying to figure out what to do, to replenish the tanks.

But they were only lying. The fuel tanks weren’t empty. The fuel tanks were busted and broken, and basically only scrap metal value by that stage.

Former minister Hanafin on radio this morning, then ended her short history of the Irish bank guarantee, by ebulliently declaring that LIQUIDITY started to flow into the Irish banking sector, following the night of the guarantee (presumably from such places as the United Kingdom and France, whose ministers had not been so far seeing as to impose their own guarantees of all liabilities of all of their banks).

So on every count in the above, the Irish government out-performed itself.

The Irish have not ended up like Cyprus. One-nil, to Ireland.

The Irish were lied to by their banks. Call that, nil-nil draw (a result).

The Irish acted fast, whilst other Europeans were napping. One-nil, to Ireland.

So the Irish bank guarantee was a straight hat-trick almost for the Brian Cowen/Ahern administration.

Wonderful.

Lets all do a victory lap.

I have only one very dumb question to ask.

If we are to stand over this narrative, that the top fellows at Irish banks, peered down into those fuel silos in September 2008, and heard their own echoes - and then it turns out - that wasn’t the case at all, and it was something else . . . . then why has no Irish banker being held accountable?

The Irish bankers did not arrive at Kildare street and say, our tanks are busted and they are scrap now, so what do we do?

It was like, oh, it’s better to say that the levels are just low, and we need to fill them up slightly.

Someone along that chain (either bankers, or politicians, or both), had to have been telling porkies - and why is there no investigation?

No records?

No statements?

And then to come on Irish morning radio, and to use the poor old Cypriots as the bogeyman. Oh, big scary Cyprus. That could have been us.

Is this what we are saying now. That in order to exercise good, responsible government in times of financial crisis - the best thing is to lie through one’s teeth, to get the best deal for a small nation? Is that the play book that we are meant to use, to be part of a European union?

Are the Cypriots being punished now, because they hadn’t enough savvy (which the Irish did have), to make up some kind of riddle, that the tanks aren’t busted - they are just empty?

This is what former minister Hanafin is taking credit for. We were smart enough to know how to do the trick of the loop, and we are better off for it. Maybe that is what people respected so much about old Fianna Fail.

Maybe that is what we ought to search for in our future political representation.

Is being in government about staying one or two steps ahead of the posse?

Is being in government a trick of the loop, a skilful, carefully measured deception and slight of hand?

Is that the standard that government should aspire to?


Brian O' Hanlon



Sub note: Asking the right question 


It is not that difficult to ascertain if an institution is as grossly insolvent as our banks appear to have been, versus illiquid. And if it appears as though, the government was genuinely misled on that occasion, where are the prosecutions for misleading the government in such a manner?

Nowadays, if one misleads the revenue on the 'market value' of one's home, one will be found both accountable and liable.

Maybe that is a good incentive to have out there.

But lying about something as large as €400 billion to the minister for finance is no problem.

Former minister Hanafin can't have it every way she wants to have it.

It is important for small countries - to decide upon what standards that local governments shall be held to.

Okay, the banks lied to them, misled them etc.

Okay, its fine to let off the hook, those who did lie and mislead and jeopardise the solvency of an entire nation - and even send the CEO's off into the sunset with huge bonuses and pensions.

Fine.

But we can't have it every way. What we are saying now, that by not getting to the bottom of things, but shovelling more and more manure on top of any truth that might be allowed to emerge from inquiry - that we were really doing the right thing.

We were protecting ourselves.

Furthermore, we are more savvy for doing it that way, than are all of those not-so-clever people in Cyprus, who could not turn tricks, spin and conceal as efficiently as we can in Ireland.

Going forward, does it suggest that in order to survive in Europe, that later are the tools, that a politician must have in their tool bag and must learn to master?

If that be the case, then fine.

And allow full marks to former Taoiseach Cowen, Ahern and former minister Hanafin. All I am asking is, if we follow this political road, where does it lead?

Does it lead to better government and more value for people, or not?

Does it lead to more stability and public welfare, or not?

What I am trying to say, is that in the eyes of former Fianna Fail government ministers, based upon their own metric for performance in government, and duty to the citizens of a country - we should be thanking out lucky stars, that we were lucky enough to have had such savvy political operatives as they were.

And if that is the reality, then fine also.

But what are we really saying?

This is the yard stick by which are current crop of representatives are to be measured against. If one is to believe former minister Hanafin, then yes, it is.

Are we better or worse off, for having this yard stick to measure ourselves against?

That is my question.

What are the signals that the next generation of office holders, are to accept as valid from their electorate?

If the Cowen, Hanafin model of local government is the legacy, that we should build on, then fine.

But we ought to ask the question.

And we ought not to shy away from asking it.


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Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Third Rock from Europe

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What occurred during the 2000s decade was the Euro established itself as an alternative reserve currency, to compete with the once mighty dollar.

The Americans, out of touch, and falling back on a standard play book, for 'what to do in a crisis' executed in 2007/08, found to their horror that nothing happened.

The gigantic global 'gas pedal', they had access to for so long was suddenly useless.

The risk mitigation procedure, which had provided comfort to so many generations was gone.

We try to analyse what is happening in Europe today, by trying to look inward and doing a lot of naval gazing.

We try to figure out what mistakes were made, who should have done what etc.

We pay less heed to a new presence.

We see in Cyprus the grafting together of a new global reserve currency, the Euro (an item that has changed the global environment in all sorts of ways, that we have only began to understand), with a former offshore banking destination, which we tried to gather into something we termed the ‘eurozone’.

We see in Cyprus, the fault line that is located on one of the worst possible places - a rock in the Mediterranean which has been used to dump vast monetary reserves - and the imposition of a new reserve currency standard, on the same rock in the middle of the sea.

As in Ireland with the 'international financial services centre' shenanigans, or in Iceland, or in any of the other rock off main land Europe - what has all happened in Cyprus, has happened far above the heads of ordinary men and women, the inhabitants of those same places.

Brian O' Hanlon

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Tuesday, March 12, 2013

Operation : Information Thunder Storm, Shock and Awe






When I returned to education lately, I soon discovered that the system inside universities has changed a lot. It has become much more assignment based than it was years ago. The class notes 'hand outs' do not appear so much as photocopies any longer, and are made available through an on line portal for each subject for students to access using their ID no's.

While this is nice, it also tends to conceal another problem. The sheer 'volume' of material that is hurled in the direction of the modern undergraduate at university. That is, if one were to print it all, you would end up needing a forklift and palette to carry it around. The student in the 2010s decade is met with a blizzard of electronic files that one needs to access, review, edit and use.

When I say 'blizzard', I do mean blizzard too.

Teachers in universities nowadays have gone way over board on this. I do recall the good old days, when at work, one could have worked on some project, with no more than a couple of electronic files. Granted, in those days, there may have been a lot of physical paper sitting on shelves, desks and generally flying around an office. Skips were cheaper in those days also.

I notice that in first, second, third and fourth years nowadays in universities, the students are met with hundreds and thousands of electronic files, web videos, images, web links and resources - the likes of which only a main frame computer would be able to process.

In summary, just because we can now flood the youth with tonnes of weight of information electronically, does that mean that we should? Is anyone having second thoughts about the information and communications age?


Brian O' Hanlon


Sub Note: United Kingdom's Government Building Information Model, 2016 Protocol 


Since the new United Kingdom BIM protocol seems to revolve so much around things like 'Excel', lets just look at that tool for a second.

I've just spent my first full 12 hour day with Excel working frantically on an assignment. The software did not crash even once in all of that time. Which is not what I can say for Excel 2010. I am connected up to cloud file sharing, using utilities designed to allow you to upload from within softwares etc. And that was when my Excel 2010 permanently broke.

Excel 2013 is tailored to work with cloud storage options - from the ground up - and hence, I had no choice but to get myself rid of Excel 2010.

The appearance of these new cloud-ish apps, is to say the least, troublesome.

I searched around for a button, that would make it look like a normal desktop productivity software again. There isn't any. Major vendors are chasing the cloud market - and making softwares look and operate in the same way that smart phones, tablets do. They are using the 'brute force' approach, to impose an appearance on desktop and notebook software, so that now everything feels like a smart phone.

Until yesterday, I still had some thing that was still in 2013 like a desktop computer used to be. Now I have something that isn't. But I'll bet the kids would love it. Except, I'm not a kid any longer.

I'm not too badly off. From 2010 onwards, I had occasion to become an 'intensive' user of MicroSoft Office again. With daily intensive daily use of the new cloud-ish apps, I will eventually figure it out. But for folk who aren't intensive users, who occasionally need to look at a document, because of the way the appearance changes so often, they will suffer.

At university, the young students, say 2013 minus 20 years, or 1993 birth dates, all got Smart phones with Wifi access, from Santa Claus over Christmas. I regularly feel like the dinosaur who has a paper copy of a timetable or an instruction! The guys with the smart phones seem to take to cloud-ish stuff, like ducks to water. That flat, low contrast tablet-like appearance for tablets is intended to make the New York Times, look like the New York Times used to look like on printed news sheet.

At university, I observe youngsters in classes using their tablet or Smart Phone under their desks, reading documents in class (while the teachers using PowerPoints and projector machines rattle on about something, that kids are now too smart to need to listen to). That's what I've noticed with the smart phones in particular. Kids who paid little attention before, pay almost none now.

Bottom line is, it's nice that the kids have new smart phones and tablets with Wifi. Its nice that I can access my precious documents from everywhere at any time. But lets not get too carried away. Having marketed desktop computer systems for decades to improve 'productivity', is it necessary now to impose that 'tablet' kind of flicking of pages, and zooming with lag times effect on everything, and everyone - even people who have been using software for 20 years?

Do we have to endure desktop products, which try to be like tablet screens too?


Update: Word Processing in the 21st century


Just a quick update on an aspect of this new software interface design trend, which is running concurrently with the cloud becoming a mature and acceptable platform to work upon.

I am currently at 50% completion stage, in writing up my 15,000 word undergraduate dissertation in Quantity Surveying. I use word processing software a good deal. I have tried using the older and new versions of the software recently. Sure all of the icons and tools are in roughly the same places. But simple things, like the scrolling of the document. Terrible, in the new version. This page turn 'lag' built into it, which someone out there obviously thinks is 'cool'. It is this smart phone, 'tablet-like', thing, where it has to make up its mind before scroll down every time.

I have developed a theory about this. One needs to understand, the idea of the cloud based versions of software products that one can rent for one's own use, or business use come with the e-mail app, the cloud storage space allocation and so on. When I open my document in my cloud drive, with vendor provided internet browsing software, it opens up in the cloud version of the software. I am reading the document directly on the cloud, and this silly 'time delay' thing, when scrolling down through page after page happens.

Fair enough.

But why do I have to endure word processing page scrolling delays, when working with the installed version of the software? I upgraded my primary home computer not so long ago to a sixteen gigabyte multi-core system, with one gigabyte of video card memory. I feel a bit cheated now that I cannot even enjoy instant scrolling with my word processor!

Okay. I get it. I'm a mature student, headed for forty. I need to get like the other twenty year olds, wearing track suit bottoms all of the time and having my head bent down constantly to view the screen on my smart phone, using the wifi, to check my facebook page. I've fallen behind the times, in terms of what you are meant to do all day long.

But in all fairness, couldn't the vendors at least left us with the few simple things from the old days that are still worth clinging on to (and had been won over many years of boil, toil, tears and sweat), such as instant scroll?

The major CAD vendor brought in some similar feature in their 2010 version, where the ancient 'zoom' command was effectively ruined by some sort of STAR Trek, kind of zoom-delay-hyperdrive effect - that obviously some kind in the coding cubicles thought was 'cool'. Back in 2010, I searched through the 'system variable' command manual, and found out how to switch it off.

But unfortunately, I feel that I am beginning to lose this battle with the track suit bottom wearing gang - and I don't know how long I'll be able to combat their spread into everything that is good and holy.


Sub note: Blunt versus Sharp


There have always been one strong 'vertical-ised' dominator in the computer vendor market - if one goes back to the 60s with IBM, the 70s and 80s with DEC, and lately with MicroSoft, Google, Facebook etc.

But it is probably worth mentioning the latest development in the 'vertical stack' of wares which kids in universities are likely to know about. By the way, the main reason I think, that it has arrived and developed so aggressively - is the presence of competitors in the market such as Google, Facebook, a re-invented Apple and so on.

Surprising as it may seem, kids at universities do not owe the kind of loyalty to the Redmond giant, that one might expect. Kids these days - they are open minded enough to try to work with anything, on any device, anywhere. On Google docs, or Facebook or whatever. They are continually evolving.

One penny-dropping moment for me, was when I saw a youngster take a Netbook out of her handbag, and start watching television on it, in the university restaurant. Another such moment, I would like to have taken a picture of, was with the four web terminals in the Student Union cafe. One day I saw four youngsters sitting at the web terminals, and every one of them had FaceBook turned on.

I wondered would it be a nice photograph to have - kind of like those photos we see in books nowadays of kids from the 1950s all hanging around the Dukebox machine listening to Elvis or something. Back then it was mass marketing. Now the kids bring their own Elvis along with them, in hand bags, coat pockets and whatever else.

I think that many people who operate at a level of sophistication, are looking for sharper tools than are available out of the box, that most students will rummage around in, to satisfy their needs for doing course assignments etc.

I have noticed this in many different areas. In 4D scheduling and estimating, the options are far wider and more sophisticated than the basic wares that students are likely to interact with on university desktops or cloud spaces.

I did some basic work in statistics late last year - and nearly every expert I talked to, told me to stay away from the 'datapak add-on' that installs in office software. The area where I found office a particular blunt tool (although not as bad as it once was), is in computer drafting and illustration. I went in search of a sharper tool, like Corel draw not so long ago, because I could not bear to waste another half hour of my life, trying to force office to draw a diagram.

(I imagine that a statistician using a spreadsheet to do their work, feels a lot like I do, when using it draw things!)

So what I mean, in those few samples alone, of scheduling, statistics based risk assessment or illustration - the tools that many try to work with - are very blunt indeed.

The point I wish to draw attention to, is that some of the well known vendors are good at integrating together a total vertical stack (sometimes out of very basic components), and getting the kids to use it and interact with it at every possible human touch point and device.

I saw a cartoon on Google+ last week, where a young guy was switching off his laptop computer because it was after 12.00 at night. The caption was something like, 'Time to call it a day'. The next part of the cartoon, showed the same guy lying in bed, reading his smart phone!

There are a couple of vendors out there now, who have managed to build something like this total infrastructure, that kids can get access to and use. This integration, up and down the line seems to be getting as important (or more), than the sharp-ness of the actual tools being used at any point in the chain.

I will speculate, that kids will look at things differently than how we do. In my day, in the 1990s, getting access to a machine that could run any office ware, was like a gift from the heavens. But now that kids have all of that, they don't seem to be as satisfied. They want a lot more.



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Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Computer Aided Design, The Hard Facts of Life





I observed a comment recently at AutoDesk User Group website. 


"BIM attempts to replicate the built environment in three dimensions, but that requires far more input than maybe necessary if you have limited potential for conflicts".

Quite so. 

Where a supervisor is overlooking a number of junior drafting employees, the two dimensional playing field can be a much easier one to be in. That supervisor can easily cover vast playing pitch sized expanses, when working to supervise staff at lower levels in the two dimensional process. The three dimensional process tends to imply, a situation where staff who are junior to the supervisor, do not require constant hand holding. 

If one is in a situation, where one cannot 100% trust one's junior staff, then my instinct would be to steer away from 3D models. I know I would be criticised by many for making that suggestion. 

But all one needs to do, is some simple mathematics. Say a junior employee is capable of generating say TWO serious errors per month, which I as a supervisor NEEDS to catch, using a two dimensional process. That same junior employee, may be capable of producing TEN errors on average per month, using a three dimensional model process. 

Now, from a supervisor's point of view, is it easier to 'catch' TWO errors, or the TEN errors per month? In one situation, you need to be the equivalent of Franz Beckenbauer as a supervisor. You need to be physical capable of running lengths of the field repeatedly. In the other case, you don't. 

From an employers perspective, if my labour resource pool in my area doesn't offer me an opportunity to employ better staff, or the project budget does not allow to hire better staff, then it is hard to justify going beyond two dimensions. 

Many employers out there, in good times and in bad, like to slash on staffing costs. The trick is to 'get by' with human resources who are inferior to those of your competitor, but cheap by the dozen. Employers have already factored into the equation, that they will need to double-check everything produced by their staff in many real situations. 

In many cases, the small to medium sized employer, is not really that enthusiastic about their clients and the work they have on the drawing board, at a given time. They will let go their good staff, and keep the practice ticking over with cheaper hires, who fill seats. In that arena, the two dimensional process is still King. 

The technology to drive a full 3D design process was available ten years ago. But the two dimensional process still persists in many locations. Probably for reasons which I have tried to outline above.





Imagine a matrix consisting of two squares up/down and two squares across. Now, I want to place on my 'Human Resources Management' hat.

In each box of the matrix, I would like to imagine the different combinations of supervisor/junior staff, that I could have in my practice. One could imagine the following combinations.


Box A -
A gifted supervisor staff member with gifted junior staff members. 

Box B -
A gifted supervising staff member combined with less gifted junior staff members. 

Box C -
A moderately capable supervising staff member with moderately capable junior staff. 


Box D -
A moderately capable supervising staff member with exceptionally capable junior staff.



Each of the above boxes represent markedly different working environments, which I will attempt to describe a little.

In 'Box A', it truly doesn't matter what process your run in your office, two dimensional or three dimensional. Generally speaking in that environment, they get the job done successfully no matter what the obstacles to progress are. You are dealing a bunch of consummate problem solvers. You can give these guys 5D BIM, you can give them drawing boards and clutch pencils. It doesn't really matter. They survive owing to their innate talent and individual resources. I was lucky enough to work in this environment once, and it marked the high point of my career thus far. But it doesn't happen every day, and 'Box A' can sometimes be found unexpectedly, in one's job hunt. It is not always where you expect to find it. Or a practice claiming to be in 'Box A', can really be a 'Box B' or 'Box C'.


In 'Box B', we are dealing with a different situation. It is the kind of situation that I described in the original comment above. You are looking at a mainly two dimensional CAD process. I will return and expand a little more on this situation, at the bottom of this item.


In 'Box C', the story isn't completely hopeless by any measure. Providing that it implements reasonable management procedures, quality control and some kind of risk management, it can still achieve a lot of output of projects in the construction industry. Again, the two dimensional CAD process will dominate, with some basic BIM process creeping in also.

I have spent most of my own working life in this box, and there are plenty of worthy construction opportunities out there, which do not require the most talented Consultant input. Indeed, it is swings and roundabouts. A practice which may have been top notch in the last decade may decline, or visa versa. One still has to muddle on.


'Box D', the last box, is a really strange animal. 'Box D' I think, is where roll out of BIM has been most successful to date. 

'Box D' could be the location, where most potential opportunities for BIM lie in the industry. I have witnessed this kind of situation myself, where the Employer employs the best staff that he can get, because he may have a Client with a decent budget and the right inclination to achieve the most out of a project. Many youngsters who really are the 'cream of the crop' tend to navigate their way towards this kind of environment. In this environment, they rarely come into direct conflict over 'Design philosophy' with their superior officers, and they can simply get on with their careers, honing their skills.


Brian O' Hanlon



Sub-note: Box B (again), some more 'hard' facts.


One additional good reason why many Employers in the industry may be reluctant to depart altogether from their two dimensional design and project execution process, is risk management. Risk management from a human resources management perspective that is.

What happens to the Design consultancy practice, that you have worked your whole life to build, if your most valuable staff decide the leave (which they sometimes do for various reasons)?

This is a significant risk to an Employer in busier times.

Our competitors are often trying to poach our best men and women, sometimes out of pure badness.

To borrow from the soccer field analogy again, it is a bit like by being Ajax football club in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. One watches as one raises the talent from early stages, and then watch as the big league clubs poach your best players. Clubs like Ajax have become incubators one could argue, for the big league sides.

It is the same with many Design Consultancy practices in the construction industry. They have become feeder streams for talent, which moves to the bigger ocean. I have witnessed this in particular in small regional cities in Ireland, where a construction faculty exists in a nearby university or college. Staff turnover can be huge. Whole staff changes every 12 months or less, in busiest economic times.

They try to be a stepping stone between education and the big leagues, and no more. Trying to roll out BIM in this sort of environment, can be a really miserable affair. I have the badges to show for this one.

Employers decide it is easier to fill seats and remain productive, if all the new replacement hire has to do, is sit in front of a two dimensional CAD screen, figure it out and start drawing more lines. I.e. With zero intervention or training from any senior staff, on how the CAD system operates in the practice.

Employers who have been in business for decades, can rely on one thing with a two dimensional CAD process. They can rely on the fact that if staff turnover becomes exaggerated in a time of great economic expansion (and therefore fee income for that Employer), that he or she can operate a roll-on, roll-off approach to human resources management.

The two dimensional CAD process is specifically suited to that kind of staff environment, where 'churn' exists. Employers are not in business to better the industry, or make staff satisfied. They want to make as much hay as possible, while the sun is shining.

According to many BIM-enabled Design practitioners in the construction industry today, one of the most disappointing aspects about BIM, is that one is creating a model and many folk down the supply chain will save money due to the existence of the model, but too little compensation flows back to the model's creator.


Tuesday, September 11, 2012

The Genius of Design




[ - Initial Draft Version Only - ]


It was British architect Robert Klaschka, who drew my attention to this idea.

Robert noted that many previous committees and debating groups had already sat around tables in previous generations, and discussed many of the same things that we are discussing today. However, it is often extremely difficult to obtain some of earlier documents today.

A TV documentary series such as the BBC's, 'The Genius of Design', does remind one of the many improvements that were made in manufacturing in automobiles, furniture, electronics and home appliances, as a direct result of design re-thinking in the conditions experienced in Britain during the early 1940s.

Some experts about construction in Britain such as Donald A. Bishop, were still writing about this, as late as the 1970s, but are published in only a very few places. I have one example of Bishop’s writing from the 1970s salvaged from an defunct library collection.

The generations in the United Kingdom, who did not experience shortages of labour and materials, may have lost sight of the challenge of making productivity improvements in the construction industry (when the constraints imposed by WWII shortage were no longer).

The Egan Report published in 1998, may re-capture some early motivations of the post-WWII era.


A lot going on 


There was a lot happening in Britain of the post war years.

The 'City of London' financial district, as it has now come to be known, did not exist. It may never have existed either, but for the efforts of a few key individuals.

There was the entire store to do with Land Taxation, and the Labour governments in decades after the second world war.

But just to focus on a few rare cultural examples, I scribbled down the following.


The Linear B Minoan Script


The story of Michael Ventris, A Very English Genius, which was broadcast on BBC television several years ago.

What the documentary illustrated is that in years following World War II (when Ventris returned to architectural studies following duty as a navigator on board airplanes), everyone at the Architectural Association in London 'was a socialist', and they voted for the Labour party.

They wanted to re-build the new Britain. The idea of group working came to the fore, as opposed to design undertaken by a single solitary individual.

In the 1950s, following the excursion by Ventris into all things ancient and difficult to read, to do with Minoan civilisation etc, Ventris was commissioned by Colin Boyne, to develop a database system for construction information for the Architects Journal.

From the Guardian newspaper Colin Boyne obituary, written by Andrew Saint . . .

"The mood in British architecture after 1945 was for rolling up sleeves and getting on with replanning and rehousing the nation. 
Architects were no longer to be amateurs and aesthetes, hanging about the clubs. 
With a vast social and technical job to do, they had to grow up, learn and put their shoulders to the wheel, dispensing with individualism and vanity".

We may tend to think of magazine publications nowadays as merely commercial print companies - but if one investigates back far enough - many, did provide basic low level research into some very hard problems, such as information systems for the construction industry. I found this quotation from a blog entry, which I quite liked.

"In other words, he did not believe in the idea of the genius who works solo and finally solves a problem by his own sheer unaided brainpower … 
Ventris explained in writing and in tremendous detail each stage of his attack on Linear B, and then circulated these neatly typed “Work Notes” (Ventris’s name for them) to other scholars for comments and contradictions. 
Much of what he hypothesized turned out to be irrelevant or wrong, but this did not stop him from showing it to the professionals. And it appears that he did take this whole approach from his work as an architect".

The Nature of the Firm


Ronald Coase, born in 1910, was another young person of the post war era in Britain, involved in re-organizing the economy and looking at how firms operate in real life.

"We should study how things work in the real world", according to Coase.

We engage too much in, 'blackboard economics', stated Coase in 2012.

Coase's family were close to the trade union movement in post war years. Some of that influence may have been present in his famous paper, The nature of the Firm, of 1937.


Brian O' Hanlon



Additional Information: 

Robinson, A. (2002). The Man Who Deciphered Linear B: The Story of Michael Ventris . London: Thames & Hudson.

Coase on Externalities, the Firm, and the State of Economics.
http://www.econtalk.org/archives/2012/05/coase_on_extern.html


1963 Tavistock Report (Higgins and Jessop) and also 1962 Mechanisms and Building Processes (Bishop D) also numerous publications in the 1970, 1980, 1990, from the BRE and Bsria.



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Sunday, August 19, 2012

Corner Boys





"It was the Sunday after the election. We were all down and the last thing I had expected was a call  from the then Taoiseach. Brian Cowen rang me, as did Mary Cowen, and I had long conversations with both of them. In Brian Cowen's case, as I would understand it, he took absolutely responsibility for what had happened. 

He told me very clearly, that it wasn't my fault, that the people hadn't punished me. I shouldn't take it personnally. That they had clearly set out to punish him. 

In Mary Cowen's case, it was also a very good conversation and she absolutely told me that she wanted to apologise for what had happened to me. She was sorry, that as she saw it, the loyalty that I had shown to Brian Cowen, the personal loyalty to Brian Cowen, had cost me". 

Charlie O'Connor, Former Fianna Fail TD. Speaking on 'The Rise and Fall of Fianna Fail', part three of a three part series, entitled 'Downfall', which was aired on TV3 Irish national television.

"I would like to take my family on a holiday to Australia. But I think it would be a tough sell to get away with it, to say that it was a legitimate expense from my company's tax point of view.  
Listening to the interview with Aoife [on the Vincent Browne show, on TV3 Irish television station], she is finding it difficult to differentiate herself from the business. They are too separate entities. 
There is this dreadful confusion and it comes across.  
The Quinns may need to talk to James again . . . 
[James Morrissey, ex. PR consultant of the Quinn family] 
. . . to get the division between the business's interests and their own interests separate". 

Dr. Paul Mooney of Tandem consulting, speaking on RTE Sunday morning radio on 19th August 2012.


The Wire


In the HBO TV series 'The Wire', the provocation of a past Baltimore city mayor was woven into the plot line. The provocation by the mayor was that the illegals drugs problem ought be to tackled as a public health problem, as opposed to a law enforcement problem.

In reality, the Mayor of Baltimore city never got far with his policy change suggestion.

In the HBO TV series, the possibility of 'what might have happened' was explored over the third season of episodes.

In the TV drama, a Baltimore city police major, delivered a speech to his staff officers, at a time in which he was struggling with the idea to legalize drugs within specific zones in the city.

That is, to push the illegal trade off of the public street corners, and into designated areas which could be contained and managed day-to-day, by his police force.

The police major discussed an old idea, of putting the bottle (of alcohol) into a paper bag.

It allowed the poor man to have a drink at the corner (the corner being the poor man's lounge). It allowed the police force to go about their business. There has never been a paper bag invented for the drugs trade, proclaimed the police major.


Taking back the corner


By pushing the illegal drugs trade into specific 'free zones', it enabled the social services to concentrate on the problem and study it properly.

It enabled them to accelerate efforts to assist in solving the problem.

That is, one could unleash the considerable resources of the 'public health policy' experts, to define and solve the problem.

The police service for the city of Baltimore, could go back to being real policemen and women again.

At another level in the American society and economic, Doctor Doom, Nuriel Roubini, speaks about the characteristic of the present financial crisis - that of, the federal government in the United States - being unable to do its job, separately from that of trying to control the market.

At many levels in modern society and economics, the public service is being drawn into a turmoil, which it is ill-equipped to deal with.


Losing the war


We are losing the war in Ireland also. But we invent numbers, which allow us to pretend we are able to manage.

One of the recurring themes explored by David Simon and his co-writers in 'The Wire' TV series, was that the greatest of the 'war on drugs', was the loss of 'real' police work.

The police force, as an institution of social administration has suffered as a result of it's mobilisation to wage a war on every street corner in American.

Whole generations of new police men and women have grown up, without ever knowing what it was like to do 'real' police work, to learn a trade and to develop skill.

The key thing about the 'paper bag' for the bottle with the corner boy, is that one about balance.

It is about finding a correct and sensible balance, in relation to a social problem of public consumption of alcohol, that can avoid a further problem of the resources of a social service getting sucked into a 'no-win' combat situation.


Statistical analysis 


One of the themes of season four of 'The Wire' TV series, is the idea of the problems present in one institution, are reflected in many others.

'Duke-ing the stats', is one of the recurring themes in 'The Wire'.

The behaviour of consistently trying to 'duke the stats', is found in the city police service, and in the city education system.

It is found everywhere.

It is this imbalance in the definition of the relationship between the Baltimore police force, and the corner boys and their activities - which has led the entire city and its institutions - down a path, where they are only working to make the statistics appear right.

To what extent has this same problem taken root in the Irish system in 2012?


Mike Ansley on radio


When one listens to chief executive officer, Mike Ansley, of the Irish Bank Resolution Corporation (formerly Anglo Irish Bank and Irish Nationwide Building Society), on national radio in the mornings of August 2012, one is very much reminded of 'The Wire', TV drama series.

We brought in this great Australian man, in order to make the numbers appear better.

But who did we import, in order to tackle our problems at a root cause?

Or does that matter?

One is very much reminded of the war on crime, the war on illegal drugs trade, and of coming up with some kind of numbers - that one hopes, the Irish public will feel reassured by - but which in reality, still leaves us with the same problems, on the same streets and on the same corners.

Mike Ansley begins to resemble one of those Baltimore city police majors, who is expected to find away to massage the picture, to make it look good for the elected mayor.

It becomes a war about numbers.


The war on credit


Another classic example of the new war about numbers, currently raging on the island of Ireland, is that about banking credit supply to businesses.

The representatives of Irish banking system (the Baltimore city police force as it were), are providing statistics from such lofty research institutions as Mazars - to inform the citizenry - that indeed, the banking system is hitting its numbers targets.

They are indeed, dragging those youths off of the street corners and putting them into Paddy wagons.

We should all feel very reassured by that.

For every banking system spokesperson, there is another newspaper journalist, be that Mr. Dan O' Brien or whomever, fighting the good fight to try and expose the numbers game.


The citizen


At the root of the entire Irish problem, is an imbalance, at some very basic and fundamental level.

That is, the definition of the 'citizen' - within the constitution as framed by founding father, Eamon DeValera.

What DeValera failed to do, and the failure for Ireland has been almost total, is to achieve a sensible balance in the relationship between the institutions of society and the corner boy.

In his attempt to define what constitutes the 'citizen', DeValera overshot the mark of what should be considered prudent.

So many other problems flow from that basic one.


The planning system


The most obvious problem is the planning permission grant system in Ireland.

That is where one can witness today, the full implication of DeValera's choice.

The planning is a legal system, that in turn, must fit into a broader one.

One cannot consider the planning system in any state, without placing that system in the context, of how the definition of the individual citizen was created, to begin with.

The over-empowerment of the individual citizen within the Irish constitution, led to a situation where it made it too profitable for developers to go around the obstacle of public consultation entirely - and to effectively encourage those in public office - to 'duke the stats', on their behalf.

It is akin to the situation created in the United States in the 1920s, following the ban against consumption of alcohol.

It created an economic context, where trade of the banned substance began too profitable, not to attract organized crime.


Only report on process


If DeValera in his framing of the Irish constitution, had prevented himself from going so far to empower the citizen in his legal definition - things in Ireland in recent decades certainly would not have slid so far down on the back end.

In anything to do with reporting of the planning and politics relationship in Ireland, there has been an obsession on the process (of how envelopes were processed and moved about), and failure to identify anything as an underlying cause.


Welfare, Health and Safety 


One can witness the same over-shooting of the mark, as recently as the 2000s in the arena of 'Welfare, Health and Safety' legislation in Ireland.

Like in the example of the paper bag and the bottle, the balance was damaged in our health and safety legislation.

There had existed for a long, long time, something called SFAIRP (so far as is reasonably practicable).

Again, the Irish legislators in their enthusiasm, managed to overshoot that mark.

We are left with a situation where public services are dragged into an impossible war, in order to make the statistics look right - and it prevents the same, from doing a real job - of assisting in the creation of good practice in the country.


Our feeling of inadequacy


Following the acquisition of partial independence of the state in Ireland in the 1920s, the feeling of inadequacy demonstrated itself in too many aspects of rule making and policy.

In order to draw attention away from the fact, that the new republic had 'lost' its six counties in the northern part of the island - the new republic proceeded to do everything - in a way, that proclaimed, this is an all-twenty six county effort, and nothing short of a twenty six county effort, would be given consideration.

Everything in the twenty six counties, had to be done on the large scale, or not at all.

But many decades later, the northern Ireland part of the island, has proven itself able to mange by itself.

The southern portion, of the island, has not.

We live with this 1920's perception, that we have to over-compensate in everything we do, for the fact that we could not create a single nation, out of a single island.

In this area also, we have overshot the mark.


An island of separate regions


The over-emphasis and over-reliance on centralisation, has been devastatingly bad from a policy making perspective, and has led to a string of wasted mis-allocations and central mis-plan-ing's down through the decades.

The policy of de-centralisation, of a centralized governmental system (in the absence of an attempt at greater regional-isation), has fared no better.

We have not endeavoured acknowledge the reality of the island of Ireland, as a multiplicity of different regions, with unique and individual problems.

We endeavoured to try to portray ourselves as one strong, central administration - because we have always felt ourselves to be neutered from the beginning - because of the northern issue.

When it did come to framing of regional policy and administration on the island of Ireland, we chose much too fine grain (building on our legacy of 'Gaelic athletic association' boundaries), and losing any cheap economies of scale we may have benefited from, by a more broad definition of 'a region'.

I wrote on the subject earlier, in a blog entry which I entitled, 'Connected to the power' and also more recently, in 'An island of regions'.


DeValera's Political Legacy


DeValera defined the citizen in a manner, that prevented the social services within the Irish state to intervene at the appropriate moment, at the appropriate level.

There is no place this is more evidence, than in relation to those who hold a position of public office in government in Ireland.

It is not acceptable that an individual who commands a post within a legislative body such as the national parliament in Ireland, is permitted to carry with them, the baggage of the 'citizen' as it was enshrined in the constitution by Eamon DeValera.

But that is exactly, what the constitution has enabled public representatives to do.

In other words, there can be no discovery of fact. There can be no justice.

The definition of oneself as a citizen, is seen as inseparable from that as the individual, who also happens to be prime minister of the nation.


Positions of office


Those who happen to hold office on behalf of the Irish citizen, to carry out the duties of an overall leader in a parliament, in Ireland, view it as violation of their personal citizenship, if requested to disclose details of such actions, as they were required to carry out in their position, as a representative of the nation.

So in political office positions - we find the exact same type of problem - which Dr. Paul Mooney refers to Irish morning radio on 19th August 2012.

The individuals who hold position in political office, find it impossible to distinguish them self as an individual citizen, from the position held in that office.

Those who are in government, mis-diagnose an attempt to find fact in relation to actions of government - as an attempt to find fact, in relation to themselves as individual citizens.

And so, government ceases to be accountable, because the individual will not be.


Mirror image


It is ironic that problems which have become embedded into the Irish system - have replicated in the actions and outlook of those accused by the system - the Quinn business and family.

Dysfunction of a certain quality and type, in one institution, is replicated across many others.

A level of dysfunction in the state, starts to replicate, in the institution of private enterprise.

And what hasn't been made public as of 2012, is the extent to which the state relied upon that private enterprise to discharge of the duties, that ought to have been carried out by the person in the office.

The Irish banking system and private enterprise had to become implicated as an agency of the state, for the office holders of the state, to become sufficiently placated.

This is the inability of the office holder in the Irish system, to stand removed on their own terms, on their own ground.

This is the un-willingness, and inability, of the office holder to separate the office, from them self as individual citizen.

This of course, in due course, will become public knowledge and understanding.


An un-resolved question


Having framed and published his constitutional documents in the 1930s, Eamon DeValera was struggling with the question of what to do with the corner boy, still in the 1940s.

The solution was to push the them into camps for the duration of WWII, to keep a lid on it.

It was the issue neglected by DeValera, in later years.

It was the issue that was not settled, the work left undone.

It is the issue that needs to be re-visited.



Brian O' Hanlon



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